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This obviously leads to changed logistics flow in Europe to other ports to reduce time in the SECA, for example Le Havre or Marseille in France and the west coast of UK as well as Narvik harbor in the north of Norway.

Besides changed logistics flow, the most alarming trade-off effect is the increased greenhouse gas emissions. The Swedish Maritime Administration has shown, in one scenario, that road transport will increase by 6% within Sweden, which corresponds to more than 300,000 tonnes of CO2.

The European refining industry has also expressed concerns that tighter sulphur restrictions will double Europe’s diesel shortfall, leading to increased imports, a price spike and a knock-on effect on road transport in general, which could be more significant than a modal backshift in terms of CO2.

THE WAY FORWARD

Obviously, the regulation seriously affects the competitiveness of the industry and should not be implemented before all consequences are properly analyzed. An impact analysis at EU level is still lacking.

Our position is that the distortion of competition due to the new IMO sulphur regulation is unacceptable. A level playing field must be kept within in the European internal market. The objective is, therefore, that fair competition within the EU internal market must be secured. Thus, the demand of the industry is that harmonized rules regarding ship emissions apply for all of Europe and that they be implemented into all of Europe at the same time. PPI

Karolina Boholm is an advisor to the Industrial Policy Department, Swedish Forest Industries Federation, Stockholm

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